Wednesday, May 19, 2010

No clear message for election season following Tuesday's primaries

With all the talk about Democrats possibly losing control of the House in the November mid-term elections, Tuesday's primaries turned out to be a promising day for liberals who flinch at the idea of the nutty Republican/Tea Party combination controlling the vote in Congress.

While the events of the day proved no clear message in how people will vote in November, one thing is for sure: the anti-incumbent, anti-Washington anger is not going away any time soon, meaning no one, not even the big political machines are safe from the anger on Main St.

The best example of this anti-establishment attitude took place in the Democratic primary for Senator in Pennsylvania, where Rep. Joe Sestak, who ignored the White House's request to not challenge the former Republican turned Democrat, Arlen Specter, for the seat. Sestak who had seemed like a long shot to win the nomination a month ago, easily defeated the former Republican who a little more than a year ago was hitching his wagon to the likes of George W. Bush and Sarah Palin. In the end, while the president's endorsement failed to win him the nomination, I would have to believe that it had more to do with Pennsylvania Democrats getting over voting for a man they opposed for three decades, than it was a referendum on President Obama. But I guess believing the vote had nothing to do with voters discontent over the status quo would be foolish as well.

Democrats also received some good news in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, where the party was able to hold onto the seat left vacant by Jack Murtha's death. Mark Critz easily defeated the GOP candidate in a district that is heavily Republican. Unfortunately, Critz did run a campaign that was opposed to many of the White House's legislation (i.e. health care). But you can bet the White House will use the win to push back against a potential massacre in November.

In other races, Arkansas Senator Blanche Lincoln, who voted against health care and still received an endorsement from President Obama, was forced into a June 8 primary runoff with Lt. Gov. Bill Halter. Once again it seems as though Lincoln's potential defeat has less to do with the president and more to do with her centrist voting record.

The Democrats were not the only winners on this day as the Tea Party showed their influence in Kentucky's Republican Senate primary, after Rand Paul, son of Rep. Ron Paul, crushed Secretary of State Trey Grayson, who was endorsed by the state GOP, Sen. Mitch McConnell, Newt Gingrich and Dick Cheney. However, Paul is now facing some of his own problems after it was revealed that he would repeal Civil Rights, which he will have to answer too if he expects to defeat his Democratic challenger for the seat.

While the results on the day proved mostly positive for Democrats, it is inevitable that they will lose more seats than Republicans due to their majority in the House and Senate and the anti-incumbent attitude currently present in the country. Just how many seats they will lose remains to be seen.

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